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Latino likely voters favor Dems – 2008 surge voters show lower enthusiasm
With one week to go before the 2010 midterm election, the Latino Decisions tracking poll takes a closer look at who constitutes likely voters in 2010. Likely voter models are traditionally more...
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Latino Decisions announces election eve poll in 8 states
Latino Decisions is partnering with the National Council of La Raza, SEIU, and America’s Voice to conduct an election eve poll of Latino voters in eight key states: California, Nevada, Arizona, New...
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The Immigrant Vote in California
Latino and Asian Americans are an important part of the American electorate, and this is perhaps most so in California, where the two groups account for nearly one third of the state’s registered voter...
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Final Latino Decisions Tracking Poll Shows Dems Winning Latino Vote
After 11 weeks of interviewing, our fall tracking poll comes to an end with this, the 10th Wave Report. Note, however, that the Latino Decisions Track will continue in 2011, though on a bi-monthly...
View ArticleHow the National Exit Poll Badly Missed the Latino Vote in 2010
By: Gary Segura & Matt Barreto Latino Decisions estimates differ significantly from the network exit polls and this raises the question of whether we, or they, have a systematic flaw (complete...
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Proving the exit polls wrong – Harry Reid did win over 90% of the Latino vote
The pre-election analysis of polls by Nate Silver at 538 proved accurate in predicting 34 of 37 elections for the U.S. Senate. The three states that were off were Alaska, Colorado, and Nevada. Among...
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Proving the exit polls wrong 2: Jan Brewer did not win 28% of the Latino vote
A few weeks ago we posted very strong evidence that the national exit poll data for Latinos in Nevada were horribly wrong. Today, we visit the state of Arizona, and find once again the national...
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Latino Decisions tracking poll post-election panel discredits National Exit Poll
Latino Decisions interview 1,870 Latino registered voters nationwide across 13 weeks, beginning August 9 and ending on October 28. In the weeks after the election, we attempted to re-contact those...
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The GOP is Sleepwalking Through the DREAM Act
Cross-posted from The Americano, December 14, 2010 The 2010 election has lulled the GOP into its own dream act. In a year in which GOP congressional candidates benefited profoundly from the slumping...
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How the Exit Polls Misrepresent Latino Voters, and Badly
Did you know that, despite running exceedingly racialized anti-Latino advertisements in Nevada’s Senate race, Sharon Angle got 30% of the Latino vote? Jan Brewer also did well, attracting an...
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